Miami Herald Blooper Puts Flo Rida @ 125 Years Old

 Small blooper down here in the Miami area where a journalist or editor put Florida Rapper Flo Rida at 125 years for his birthday this week. See the blooper below:

So for his 125th Birthday he will be getting a key to the city. Imagine what he will get when he turns 200!!!

Richard Ruddie Bias Recommendation for Behavior Psychology

Behavior psychology plays such an integral role in our every day lives. There is a website ran by the Initative of the School of Thought,  a 501c3 non profit organization that is a great way to educate in a fun way about different biases you may have or see. The website, poster, and trading card game shares a ton of great lessons and was created by Jesse Richardson and an Australian digital agency called We Are Flip using a creative commons attribution and noncommercial license. 

There are a ton of great lessons and advice that the site provides. I will only share each of the titles and you can visit  https://yourbias.is for the rest of the details. Behavior Psychology is an important part of marketing and how we think. 

Below is a list of common terms:

	the sunk cost fallacy
	the availability heuristic
	the curse of knowledge
	confirmation-bias
	the-dunning-kruger-effect'
	belief bias
	self-serving-bias
	he-backfire-effect
	icon-the-barnum-effect
	groupthink
	negativity-bias
Anchoring
	declinism'
	the framing effect
	fundamental attribution error
	the-halo-effect
	optimism-bias
	pessimism-bias
	just-world-hypothesis
	in-group-bias
	the placebo effect
	the bystander effect
	icon-reactance
	the spotlight effect

Why We're So Bad At Predictions

This piece from Nassim Taleb explains why we're so bad at predicting the pandemic and the outcomes of total deaths.

Source: https://forecasters.org/wp-content/uploads/Talebetal_25062020.pdf

MAIN STATEMENTS from the piece:

(i)– Forecasting single variables in fat-tailed domains is in violation of both common sense and probability theory. 

(ii)– Pandemics are extremely fat-tailed events, with potentially destructive tail risk. Any model ignoring this is necessarily flawed.

(iii)– Science is not about making single points predictions but about understanding properties (which can sometimesbe tested by single point estimates and predictions). 

(iv)– Sound risk management is concerned with extremes, tails and their full properties, and not with averages, the bulk of a distribution or naive estimates. 

(v)– Naive fortune-cookie evidentiary methods fail to work under both risk management and fat tails,because the absence of evidence can play a large role in the properties. 

(vi)– There are feedback mechanisms between forecast and reaction that cancels the invalidity of some predictions. 

(vii)– Exponential dynamics automatically satisfies the mathematical condition for chaos and its unpredictability

Other great data and information to help educate us and make us smarter while being more accountable you can read: https://forecasters.org/wp-content/uploads/Ioannidisetal25062020-1.pdf

Richart Ruddie of Fort Lauderdale Florida Says this is 17.5x More Deadly than COVID-19

 

Cardiovascular diseases will be approximately 17.5 times more deadly than COVID-19. The big difference is that the ease in which you can catch COVID-19 and how rapidly it affects you and has the potential to activate other immunocompromised issues and kill you.

So it's not that COVID-19 is even nearly as deadly as other issues but it's more rapid. Only car accidents according to the chart above states that it's more deadly with little to no notice. So what do we do? Once COVID-19 is erradticated we should focus on curing cardiovascular diseases, cancers, and other lifestyle activities that cause these issues.

So don't be afraid because if you looked at the chart above you would think you're odds of dying are severly increased. Sometimes ignorance is bliss but make health conscious decisions to improve your lifestyle and logevity.

New Florida Laws are all great says Richart Ruddie

Great to see all these new Florida laws coming into affect next week. They all seem sensible and helpful for a better state. One of them is holocaust education which hopefully will stop the 1 or 2 deniers that are just lunatics.

https://www.wptv.com/news/state/new-florida-laws-that-go-into-effect-on-july-1-2020

One of them is even related to e-Bikes:
The bill creates regulations governing the operation of e-bikes in the state of Florida, allowing them on streets, highways, roadways, shoulders, bicycle lanes, and bicycle or multiuse paths. Local governments still maintain authority to limit their use.

First Self Storage in America was here in Fort Lauderdale, Florida

Fun fact of the day is that the first self storage facility in America was called Lauderdale Storage and was opened in 1958. The facility was owned by the Collum family here in Fort Lauderdale.