Sunday, December 2, 2012

Why the future is so hard to predict?

Have you ever looked at all of the stock market prognosticators picks for the year? Do yourself a favor and look back at their previous years predictions and see just how incredibly off they are. This may just further prove Naseem Taleb's black swan theory on how we live in randomness and cannot predict the future so why attempt to?

If you read predictions on climate change and an article today about California on the verge of suffocating under flooding through water vapor than you will agree with me that there are going to be thousands of doomsday predictions and only when one happens by chance will others come out and say "Why didnt we pay more attention"?
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